Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 23.830769 27.549137 31.569932 36.230022 41.471031 47.171689 53.829686
2025-02-02 19.043168 24.563661 31.093936 39.332053 49.385571 61.190462 76.029617
2025-02-09 15.179587 21.405562 29.319938 39.988708 53.846563 71.075503 93.929955
2025-02-16 12.327139 18.779420 27.502509 39.934277 56.932920 79.066411 109.712058
2025-02-23 10.138371 16.568052 25.754976 39.507061 59.168780 85.803023 124.040131
2025-03-02 8.499896 14.823324 24.328155 39.200982 61.325587 92.355680 138.326886
2025-03-09 7.197994 13.350514 23.048833 38.859674 63.247324 98.541212 152.320342
2025-03-16 5.747096 11.376628 20.703193 36.565156 61.951657 99.871063 159.296273
2025-03-23 5.205345 10.860404 20.609488 37.753403 65.993843 109.219801 178.435685
2025-03-30 4.809695 10.537667 20.781433 39.352852 70.751935 119.877237 200.062356
2025-04-06 4.112082 9.526853 19.621410 38.558315 71.514349 124.334515 212.377894
2025-04-13 3.371892 8.299098 17.903292 36.584488 70.096233 125.171296 218.982796
2025-04-20 3.200162 8.259182 18.467890 38.885510 76.367992 139.147983 247.837366
2025-04-27 3.149363 8.485629 19.594905 42.372537 85.051533 157.737985 285.383247
2025-05-04 2.822236 8.027126 19.292521 43.109938 88.869696 168.402085 310.499256
2025-05-11 2.469796 7.436438 18.630803 43.059014 91.210083 176.641611 331.957977
2025-05-18 2.136352 6.820122 17.821224 42.604487 92.719370 183.468204 351.301832
2025-05-25 1.859179 6.288090 17.117997 42.278090 94.415175 190.676035 371.611408
2025-06-01 1.617877 5.798302 16.437611 41.913857 95.979762 197.694335 391.885577
2025-06-08 1.297809 4.998385 14.890607 39.464140 93.131778 196.387495 397.205883
2025-06-15 1.206811 4.873313 14.992846 40.732933 97.987791 209.724661 429.593851
2025-06-22 1.143017 4.821451 15.274754 42.440235 103.871249 225.297944 466.742717
2025-06-29 0.980041 4.396831 14.511799 41.592202 104.239688 230.256023 484.424533